@arda-gulcil
Hi,
I would not recommend only one model.
You know there are models providing long-range forecast (up to 10 days) and some short-range forecast (up to 2 days). The first ones have a lower resolution (about 10km or more), the second ones have a higher resolution (about 4km) in your area.
So the first ones are useful to know the weather in the next 5 or 7 days.
In this category I would recommend the ECMWF model, for instance to know if the Meltem wind is predicted to be strong next week.
For medium-range forecast try ICON EU
And for the shorter-range forecast it is better to use NEMS as this Mediterranean area shows a large quantity of mountainous coasts and islands. So you need a high resolution model to get more precision about wind force and direction. Local winds are highly influenced by mountains in the Aegean Sea.
Examples today at same hour
(shown with customized colours for wind):
ECMWF 9km resolution - 10-days range.
The Meltem strength is shown to be fairly even.
1BE425B3-B50E-4739-86C4-36AAB2513D23.jpeg
ICON 7km resolution - 5-days range
The wind is shown stronger between islands and weaker on leeward coasts.
716C9E89-D08F-42F7-B730-C95EFAFC2D81.jpeg
NEMS 4km resolution - 2.5-days range
The wind is shown even more accurately around islands and capes.
FDAE1F5B-6A50-4BFC-9BC6-6B4598F8D336.jpeg
My colour scale for wind is
Blueish green : 4 Beaufort
Bright green : 5 Beaufort
Orange : 6 Beaufort
