Storm chasers

Hurricane Jerry Adv. 12A

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Earliest-Reasonable Time of Topical-Force winds (Adv 12)

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Hurricane Humberto (Adv 28) and Hurricane Jerry (Adv 9)

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Hurricane Humberto (Adv 26) & Tropical Storm Jerry (Adv 7)

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Hurricane Lorena Earliest-Reasonable Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds (Adv. 7)

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• Update: Lorena strengthened to a hurricane as it's approaching the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. At 6:00 a.m. MDT (12:00 p.m. UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorena was near 22.7N, 109.0W, moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h), the estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.20 inches). A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baja California peninsula from La Paz to Puerto Cortes. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for east coast of the Baja California peninsula north of La Paz to San Evaristo. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for east coast of the Baja California peninsula north of San Evaristo to Loreto, west coast of the Baja California peninsula north of Puerto Cortes to Puerto San Andresito (Adv 12A, nhc.noaa.gov)
  

• Update: At 3:00 p.m. UTC (10 a.m. CDT), the center of Lorena, weakened back to Tropical Storm status with max. sustained winds of 70 mph (113 km/h), was located near 20.30N, 105.54W.
• Update: We've uploaded the Earliest-Reasonable Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds for Hurricane Lorena from nhc.noaa.gov (Adv. 7) to Windy.
  

• Update: Lorena becomes a Hurricane, increasing its sustained winds to near 75 mph (120 km/h). At 10:00 p.m. CDT (3:00 a.m. UTC), the center of Hurricane Lorena was located near 18.7N, 104.7W, moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and the forward speed is expected to decrease a bit on Thursday. Lorena is expected to move near or over the southwestern coast of Mexico within the hurricane warning area tonight and Thursday. Lorena is then expected to move west-northwestward away from the west-central coast of Mexico late Thursday and Friday and approach southern Baja California Sur Friday night and Saturday. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches). (Advisory #7, nhc.noaa.gov)

Same as hyperactive Atlantic, the eastern Pacific basin is also experiencing higher than usual tropical activity during the peak of the hurricane season. Tropical Storms Lorena and Mario formed on Tuesday, joining Tropical Storm Kiko.

While Mario and Kiko are expected to remain over the open waters, Tropical Storm Lorena is strengthening as it approaches the coast of southwestern Mexico, bringing a dangerous threat of flash flooding an mudslides.

A hurricane warning was issued by local authorities for part of southwest Pacific coast of Mexico. The heaviest rainfall is expected in the states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco near the coast.

Lorena is then predicted to move west-northwestward away from the western coast of Mexico late Thursday and Friday and approach the southern Baja California Peninsula Friday night and Saturday.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Zihuatanejo to Punta San Telmo, and Cabo Corrientes to Punta Mita.

According to NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Advisory #6, at 4:00 p.m. CDT (9:00 p.m. UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorena was located near 17.9N, 104.4W, max. sustained winds near 70 mph (110 km/h), moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).

A slower northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Lorena is expected to move near or over the southwestern coast of Mexico within the hurricane warning area tonight and Thursday.

The center of Lorena is then expected to move west-northwestward away from the western coast of Mexico late Thursday and Friday and approach southern Baja California Friday night and Saturday. Strengthening is forecast tonight, and Lorena is forecast to become a hurricane as it nears the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Additional strengthening is possible when Lorena moves west of the coast of southwestern Mexico.

Related

• Five tropical systems in Atlantic. Humberto is now Cat-3 Hurricane, Imelda weakens, TD 10 becomes Tropical Storm Jerry

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Active Tropical Systems 09-18-2019

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Hurricane Humberto Adv 23A (nhc.noaa.gov)

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Yes, go to NOAA Storm Prediction Centre
https://www.spc.noaa.gov

• Update: We've uploaded the NHC's Advisory cone and track for Hurricane Jerry (Advisory 12A). Click here to view the interactive version on any Windy layer, or see the static image below.
• Update: While Humberto is now Post-Tropical Cyclone, Jerry remains Category-2 Hurricane, with max. sustained winds decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h). At 8:00 a.m. AST (12:00 p.m. UTC), the center of Hurricane Jerry was located near 18.5N, 59.6W, moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west-northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days. The center of Jerry will move north of the northern Leeward Islands later today, pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday, and be well east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday. A gradual weakening trend is forecast to continue today, but Jerry is expected to remain a hurricane during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has recently reported a minimum central pressure of 989 mb (29.20 inches). (Adv. 30, nhc.noaa.gov)
• Update: We've uploaded the NHC's Advisory cones for Hurricane Humberto (Adv 28) & Tropical Storm Jerry (Adv 9).
• Update: Jerry strengthened to Category 1 Hurricane, Humberto is expected to weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone later today. At 11:00 a.m. AST (3:00 p.m. UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near 36.8N, 60.0W. Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h). A slower north-northeastward motion is expected later today and tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast is expected to commence on Friday. The hurricane is expected to slowly weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone later today. (Advisory 28, nhc.noaa.gov). Jerry: At 11:00 a.m. AST (3:0 p.m. UTC), the center of Hurricane Jerry was located near 16.8N, 54.4W, with max. sustained winds increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west-northwest motion at a similar forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands Friday, pass north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and east of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday. Jerry is forecast to strengthen during the next day before some weakening begins this weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft recently reported a minimum central pressure of 988 mb (29.18 inches). A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Maarten, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, and Saba and St. Eustatius (Advisory 9, nhc.noaa.gov)
• Update: We've uploaded the NHC's Advisory cones for Hurricane Humberto (Adv 26) & Tropical Storm Jerry (Adv 7).
• Update: For Eastern Pacific basin storms, check out the lates updates on Kiko, Lorena and Mario in this separate article.
• Update: We’ve uploaded the latest track & cone forecasts from nhc.noaa.gov to Windy, including the Eastern Pacific. Atlantic: Hurricane Humberto (Adv. 24A), Tropical Storm Jerry (Adv. 6) Pacific: Tropical Storm Kiko (Adv. 25), Tropical Storm Lorena (Adv. 6), Tropical Storm Mario (Adv. 5). Click here to see their tracks on any Windy layer (or close the article)
• Update: Hurricane Humberto has strengthened to Category 3, Tropical Depression Ten has strengthened to Tropical Storm and gets name Jerry. On other hand, Imelda has weakened to Tropical Depression and was joined by Tropical Depression Eleven. Southwest of TD 11, a tropical disturbance has formed. Track the path of all active tropical systems with Windy Hurricane Tracker at www.windy.com/hurricanes

Learn weather: What’s the difference between Tropical Storm, Tropical Depression and a Hurricane? Learn about all four stages of tropical cyclone

Earlier coverage

Atlantic basin gets busy with the trio of tropical systems. Tropical Storm Imelda threatens portions of southeastern Texas with more than a foot of rain this week, possibly leading to dangerous flash floods. Hurricane Humberto is forecast track near Bermuda by later Wednesday and Tropical Depression Ten has formed Tuesday morning in the central Atlantic Ocean.

Hurricane Humberto

Hurricane Humberto is forecast track near Bermuda by later Wednesday. A hurricane warning have been issued for Bermuda as strengthening Category 2 Hurricane Humberto approaches, potentially bringing strong winds, battering surf and heavy rain to the island.

National Hurricane Center warned the hurricane will also generate high surf and dangerous rip currents along the Southeast U.S. coast.

On Tuesday at 5:00 p.m. EDT (9:00 p.m. UTC), Humberto was located about 450 miles west of Bermuda, moving to the east-northeast at 12 mph, with max. sustained winds of 105 mph (169 km/h).

Schools, government offices and ferries on the island would close at noon Wednesday and bus service would end at 4 p.m.

Tropical Storm Imelda

Tropical Storm Imelda threatens portions of southeastern Texas with more than a foot of rain this week, possibly leading to dangerous flash floods.

The tropical storm that made landfall near Freeport, Texas on Tuesday afternoon with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, is forecast to bring enough rainfall to cause significant flooding along the Gulf Coast of Texas.

A flash flood watch has been issued across the entire Houston metro area, impacting 6 million people.

Tropical Depression Ten

Tropical Depression Ten has formed Tuesday morning in the central Atlantic Ocean about halfway between Africa and South America. The system should become Tropical Storm Jerry in a day or so, strengthening to a hurricane by the weekend.

To get latest warning and watches, check out the HNC website at nhc.noaa.gov

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