I think its to early to be sure. Forecasts are changing day by day. ECMWF and GFS are not in agreement for the situation (Sat. 26 Oct / 12 Z) For medicanes in previous years: Nov. 2017 https://community.windy.com/topic/4935/medicane Sep. 2018 https://community.windy.com/topic/6788/a-medicane-expected