ECMWF temps consistently low
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Location Kanab, UT.
ECMWF forecasted temps are consistently about 10 degrees F lower than all the other models, and end up consistently 10 degrees lower than observed temps as well.
Today, E.G. Observed temps 34-39 degrees at 12:30PM MST. ECMWF says 23-24F.
This happens every day, everywhere, down here. Has been like this for months.
Is the model bad in this region, or is it somehow being displayed/converted incorrectly by windy?
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@spencernb One more thing--I just tried 'compare' for the coming week, Kanab, UT, and ECMWF 9km shows ~10-14F colder than every other model, at all times of day and night, every single day.
This is consistent with the error I've been observing with ECMWF forecasted temps down here for a long, long time.
Is this happening elsewhere, too? I know the ECMWF model can't be that badly broken. It's supposed to be the best, after all.
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Yes, at Kanab, Utah, ECMWF model shows lower temperatures. HRRR is much better and Meteoblue for local forecast is probably the best (shown with Observation vs forecast feature with the reported temperature at weather station of Kanab Municipal Airport).
Fortunately ECMWF is not so bad everywhere.
Why does this model give so bad temps forecasts at your location? Difficult to say.
The model altitude is 100m higher than the real altitude, it explains a part of the discrepancy.
There are mountains near Kanab, so a model with higher resolution like HRRR gives better results.
But in Windy, given the temperatures provided on the Utah map, the ECMWF looks lower overall and it's hard to explain.
