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    ECMWF AI Model

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    • David PolášekD Offline
      David Polášek Windy Staff @anthony10
      last edited by

      I can confirm we are working on it. Stay tuned.

      @anthony10 @Hero2-0 @illili

      David Polášek
      Marketing Director at Windy.com

      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 6
      • SutyS Offline
        Suty Windy Staff
        last edited by

        @Hero2-0 @anthony10 @illili The AIFS is already in the latest version of our web app and it should be available in our mobile apps in a few days. However, we offer AIFS as an extension to ECMWF in the forecast detail. So now ECMWF, together with AIFS, offer 15 days of forecast.

        Tomber42T I xingetansuo1X 3 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 5
        • Tomber42T Offline
          Tomber42 Moderator @Suty
          last edited by

          @Suty said in ECMWF AI Model:

          @Hero2-0 @anthony10 @illili The AIFS is already in the latest version of our web app and it should be available in our mobile apps in a few days. However, we offer AIFS as an extension to ECMWF in the forecast detail. So now ECMWF, together with AIFS, offer 15 days of forecast.

          But this will not provide AIFS Forecasts for 1-10 days forecast..right?

          Greetings from Tomber

          anthony10A 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
          • I Offline
            illili @Suty | Premium
            last edited by

            @Suty @David-Polášek this is exciting news! I now see the AIFS extension in the forecast detail. Excited to see it roll out as a model.

            Will it replace the traditional ECMWF, or will it be an extra option? Would be neat if we could keep both. The more the better, I say!

            Thanks for all the hard work!

            SutyS 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
            • SutyS Offline
              Suty Windy Staff @illili
              last edited by

              @illili Hi, at this moment, it will stay this way. There is no plan to implement it as a separate model now.

              1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
              • anthony10A Offline
                anthony10 @Tomber42 | Premium
                last edited by

                @Tomber42 seems like that is the case @Suty?

                SutyS 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                • SutyS Offline
                  Suty Windy Staff @anthony10
                  last edited by

                  @anthony10 Yes, we provide AIFS only as an extension for standard ECMWF.

                  1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
                  • xingetansuo1X Offline
                    xingetansuo1 @Suty
                    last edited by

                    @Suty Where can I see AIFS as an ECMWF extension?
                    In addition, the accuracy of ECMWF's rainfall forecast in the past half year has been very poor. This is very different from before. What is the reason?

                    Gkikas LGPZG Tomber42T 2 Replies Last reply Reply Quote 0
                    • Gkikas LGPZG Offline
                      Gkikas LGPZ Moderator Meteorologist @xingetansuo1
                      last edited by

                      Please keep in mind that AIFS (ECMWF) currently runs at a horizontal resolution of 28 kilometers (approximately 0.25 degrees).

                      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 2
                      • Tomber42T Offline
                        Tomber42 Moderator @xingetansuo1
                        last edited by

                        @xingetansuo1 said in ECMWF AI Model:

                        In addition, the accuracy of ECMWF's rainfall forecast in the past half year has been very poor. This is very different from before. What is the reason?

                        windy is using the weather models for visualisation of weather.. they do not developing this models. So here is the wrong place for that type of questions

                        Greetings from Tomber

                        1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                        • idefix37I idefix37 referenced this topic on
                        • suzeomniS Offline
                          suzeomni | Premium
                          last edited by

                          ECMWF AI model is useless in predicting any further than 7 days anyway. Besides being completely wrong and changes dramatically at times... Also the AI used in Radar is about 90 degrees out! I've repeatedly looked up the rain on radar and as soon as it gets to the AI prediction, I've seen the model turn 90 degrees in another direction! This is obviously wrong and was as weather does not turn 90 degrees in an instant.
                          I've been using Windy for at least 6 years now..but .the predictions have worsened lately.

                          I only use ECMWF model for Wind as that seems to be true. I use MBLUE for rain and temperature which has a better prediction.
                          In my experience all AI generations do not work properly....they're only as good as the people inputting the instructions.
                          I'll keep using Windy as its still much better than any other weather app! There are so many layers you can use...I love it! ❤
                          I just hate the AI forecasts...as wrong...please give up on AI....

                          idefix37I 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                          • idefix37I Offline
                            idefix37 Sailor Moderator @suzeomni
                            last edited by

                            @suzeomni said in ECMWF AI Model:

                            In my experience all AI generations do not work properly....they're only as good as the people inputting the instructions.
                            I just hate the AI forecasts...as wrong...please give up on AI....

                            For your information MBLUE includes AI algorithms as said here

                            But I did not heard that in the Radar layer there is an “AI prediction”. Could a developer confirm that or not ?

                            suzeomniS 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                            • suzeomniS Offline
                              suzeomni @idefix37 | Premium
                              last edited by

                              @idefix37
                              Hi...it seems that the MBLUE model, even with AI gives a more accurate forecast than ECMWF in UK and Australia for temperature and precipitation.
                              The radar shows past 1/6 or 12 Hrs but the forecast for one hour changes direction of up to 90 degrees.
                              At the moment I'm looking at Sydney for example, but other countries don't seem to have this anomaly.

                              idefix37I 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                              • idefix37I Offline
                                idefix37 Sailor Moderator @suzeomni
                                last edited by idefix37

                                @suzeomni
                                Hi,
                                I use the MTBLUE model every day. This model is very good specially in mountains.
                                The radar “prediction” is not my favourite feature.

                                1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
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