Hurricane Beryl Winds

501weathergyal

I have been a user of your app for a few years now and I find it to be very accurate; however, I am tracking Hurricane 🌀 Beryl and I notice the winds are far less than what main stream media is reporting. Main stream is categorizing it as a Cat4 but if I go by your app it's barely a Cat 1 at this time . I tend to believe your app reflects the accurate wind speed but how can I be sure it is reading correctly ?

idefix37

@501weathergyal said in Hurricane Beryl Winds:

I have been a user of your app for a few years now

If you have been following hurricanes for a long time in Windy, you should have noted that standard weather models are NOT able to predict the high wind speeds observed near the eye of tropical cyclones.
This is why special hurricane models have been developed by the NOAA in addition to the main forecasting method based on Dvorak analysis using satellite views to make an estimate of max sustained winds (over 1-minute) and to the aircraft recon observation.
For instance the default model in Windy displays winds roughly based on 10-minutes averaged speed, when the Saffir-Simpson refers to 1-minute wind speed. At least you should use the Wind gusts layer to get a better comparison with the estimations based on Saffir-Simpson scale reported in the main stream media.
This is the reason why Windy displays directly NHC forecasts in Hurricane tracking.

hullknocker

@idefix37

What is the current wind? (Not the weather model's "predicted" wind and not the NOAA "forecast" wind.)

If windy.com's map is saying Hurricane Milton's wind speed is 58knots and the windy.com page for hurricane Milton is saying the sustained wind speed is 130 knots, what is the actual wind speed at that moment at the site?

It is confusing to see windy.com wind speeds around 58knots in the same area that windy.com hurricane overlay, the NWS, and mainstream media is reporting above 130knots.

idefix37

@hullknocker said in Hurricane Beryl Winds:
@idefix37

What is the current wind?

Windy does not display the current wind as it would be measured by an anemometer near the eye of the hurricane. How could Windy do this and create a reported wind speed map?

Windy visualises the forecast of several global models and regional models. So windy is not reporting wind speeds.

mainstream media is reporting above 130knots.

This is the NHC forecast/observation using Dvorak analysis based on satellite views and airborne recon.
You can get these wind speeds from NHC in Windy by viewing the Hurricane tracker.