Understand hurricane tracking, forecast, and measurements.
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As with every year during hurricane season, there is a lot of confusion about hurricanes, their forecast, and their measurements. That's why we've given you a brief summary of how to navigate Windy, where to find out about the current situation, and where to find forecast information.
Weather maps based on numerical models
All the weather maps you are used to on Windy are made up of numerical models that are created at a certain resolution (e.g. 9 km for the ECMWF model). They don't show the measured values, they show the forecast. Specifically, in the case of wind, it is the AVERAGE value at 10 meters above the ground. From such a map it is not possible to determine the maximum wind speeds of a hurricane.
Such maps show the direction of the tropical cyclone and the AVERAGE values, not maximum wind speeds. The model is created from data that is several hours old and is not used to describe the current situation.
That's why we developed a hurricane-tracking tool a few years ago.
The hurricane forecast using the Dvorak Technique
Some tropical cyclone observatories (NOAA, Met Office, ECMWF) also issue a special hurricane forecast, where they estimate the strength of the hurricane based on e.g. the Dvorak Technique, which also uses measurements directly from the hurricane for its calculations (measurement, and patterns usual for hurricanes in the area).
Hurricane data is collected, among other things, from aircraft flying directly into the hurricane. Much respect to all Hurricane Hunters!
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D David Polášek referenced this topic on
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D David Polášek referenced this topic on
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I suppose I get it BUT there is a huge difference between being at sea on a sailboat in 30knots vs 80 to 100knots and if your forecast is saying average wind speed in a day will be 30 knots but the actual wind speed in a tropical cyclone is going to be over 70knots that makes your forecast useless.
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S Suty referenced this topic on
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@gunnerdear I would recommend using our wind gusts layer as well to get more realistic values of the windspeed during similar events. Since it display peak values from the last 3 hours.
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D David Polášek pinned this topic on
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@fionagill
It is explained in the first post of this topic -
@Suty)
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@Suty
Weather forecast service only for Kuwait. How can I modify it? -
@mouejb How do you mean that? You can check Kuwait in our app and you can set that location as your default one as well, if you are interested only in that location.
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I want a refund. How can I get a refund?How can I apply?Because I can only log in to the browser, I can't download it, which is not convenient for me to use.I bought it in the first place becauseI think it can be downloaded to mobile phone software.But now he can't, so I want a refund.
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@xin0922 Hi, I already processed your refund for you. If you need anything else, please let me know.
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This is a great clarification! It's important to understand that these forecast maps provide average wind speeds at 10 meters above the ground and show the direction of the tropical cyclone. They aren’t meant to represent the maximum wind speeds that a hurricane can reach. Plus, because these models use data from several hours earlier, they may not accurately depict real-time conditions. This is why tools designed specifically for hurricane tracking are so essential, as they offer up-to-date, detailed insights into a storm's actual intensity and path.
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Hi i just pay for premium but i can t use as premium can help me pla
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