So so wrong
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A recent sailing trip was devastated by an inaccurate forecast
Forecast was 2-4 knots from SW actual
Was 21-23 NE for a solid 8 eight hours plus un forecast thunder and lightening . Even the actual weather was out by the same margin
Windy is no longer reliable location was SE Tasmania -
@BlitheSpirit Hi, what model did you check to get this information? When exactly, an hour or day ahead? I would personally recommend checking Wind gust layer to get more info about potential peak values.
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@BlitheSpirit said in So so wrong:
Windy is no longer reliable
You can raise a question of reliability, but it's important to point out that this would be the reliability of the weather model you used, probably the ECMWF model.
Windy offers several weather models, particularly the Australian ACCESS models, published by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM).
Did you test them that day?
It's difficult to analyze the reason for this erroneous wind forecast several days later. But it was probably due to stormy conditions as you observed lightning and thunder. Such local conditions are usually more easily predicted by high resolution models. ACCESS C models have a resolution of 1.5 km while ECMWF has a resolution of 9 km.
