ECMWF

[Keith Chandler]

This model consistently over-promises rain or other precipitation in our location. I wondered if this was common elsewhere.

[Suty]

@Keith-Chandler This is difficult to tell to be honest, also we always recommend comparing all available models to make the most accurate forecast.

[Keith Chandler]

@Suty thanks!

[Staurossim]

@Keith-Chandler I agree with you,ECMWF is more sensitive on precipitation forecast on my location too.

[temp850]

@Keith-Chandler Yes, it's a model. It can't really over-promise because the data it offers should be viewed in the light of its limitations.

Local knowledge with forecasting, is also important. EC in my area gets temperatures 'wrong' because of the greatly variable terrain. It averages out the altitude across a given grid point. So, I need to adjust for the altitude of my town, to get a more accurate forecast.