El Niño and La Niña forecast?
-
Would be nice if we can see El Niño and La Niña forecasts in Windy
-
@ErrorFNaF Hello, do you know about any reliable source for this data? If yo do, can you share it with us?
-
@Suty this work?
https ://x.com/Windycom/status/2065435200314597468 (space added after https to make the link show up)
Facetiousness aside, is there no desire to add in long term possible forecasts that have a relatively wide margin or error? I can understand you're trying to provide the most factual data possible, but an adaptive "farmers almanac" type seasonal forecast could be possible, no?
-
@cdbwindy
The link you posted points to an article on X that does not constitute a reliable source for forecasting El Niño phases. It is simply the current Sea Surface Temperature (SST) map as available on Windy. -
@idefix37 That still doesn't answer my questions.
-
@cdbwindy
I answered your first question in the negative. Your question wasthis work?
https ://x.com/Windycom/status/2065435200314597468 (space added after https to make the link show up)Your second question was
is there no desire to add in long term possible forecasts … an adaptive "farmers almanac" type seasonal forecast could be possible, no?
Only a member of the Windy development staff can answer that question. But, frankly, I doubt Windy will add long-term forecasts—the kind that say "the third week of September will be dry and the last week of November will be rainy."
-
-
@Suty that's fair; honestly anything beyond 48 hours is a bit hit or miss weather wise, but I live in an area where either the best meteorologists are sent to work or the worst are sent as a punishment. Accuracy is paramount, and I can absolutely understand that. I think it's more predicting a long term trend based on much larger weather conditions at play that would be interesting, but accuracy would be wildly off given the unpredictability.
That's fine, your stance is the correct one. Other services will extrapolate from time to time on longer term possible outcomes. It's an interesting perspective though mostly a thought experiment. Perhaps "The Farmer's Almanac" type seasonal forecasts are a legacy item best left in the past.
@idefix37 Myself it was more "over the next 6 months we might see this" not pinpoint precision. Are we going to get a lot of snow this winter? Is it going to be scorchingly hot ala El Niño and how might that shake out over wide swathes of land? Perhaps the answer to those are pure conjecture enough so as to make them less than useless. Either way, @suty has answered with an official stance, and one I can respect.
