Which forecast model do you trust most for changing weather?
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Hi everyone,
I've been using Windy for a while and one thing I really appreciate is being able to compare different forecast models in the same place. But when the models disagree significantly, I sometimes find it difficult to decide which one deserves more weight.
For everyday planning, do you usually stick with one model such as ECMWF, GFS, ICON, or Meteoblue, or do you compare several of them before making a decision?
I'm especially interested in how people handle rapidly changing conditions such as thunderstorms, heavy rain, or strong winds. Do you find that one particular model performs consistently better in your region?
It would be interesting to hear which models other Windy users rely on and whether your preference changes depending on the type of weather or location.
What is your usual approach when the forecast models don't agree?
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@boyawar Truly, what I do, what someone else does, has no bearing on what is best in your case. However, you should think about what you are watching. Is it the rain forecast? The daily low temperature? What? You also need to watch the models over a period of time and figure out which turns out to be closest for what you are watching.
Take into account the seasons. For example the rain forecast changes with every forecast In my location this time of year. In other months when the fronts are coming through from the west, the rain forecast is pretty reliable. In the cold months I'm looking at the forecast low, how long the low is forecast to last, and the high the next day. The ECWF is pretty good for me on the lows and high temperature, but the Apple Weather app is likewise very good, and I rely on it more for the low temperature forecast. But that is me, and what I watch.
