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    Rain accumulation for Montenegro

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    • Gkikas LGPZ
      Gkikas LGPZ Moderator last edited by

      As you mention here
      https://www.facebook.com/windyforecast/videos/vb.1590435124517948/2122704081291047/?type=3&theater

      "Intensive rain is coming for Balkans".

      I just want to point out that there are big differences between ICON and ECMWF
      on 3days accumulated rainfall for Montenegro.
      0_1517551972009_e2b7a0d1-1782-42b5-8ca4-865d5e94c085-εικόνα.png

      Gkikas LGPZ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
      • Gkikas LGPZ
        Gkikas LGPZ Moderator @Gkikas LGPZ last edited by

        ... surely, 300 mm in 3 days is an extreme for the area.
        I don't want to imagine the consequences if reached the value of 500.

        Gkikas LGPZ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
        • Gkikas LGPZ
          Gkikas LGPZ Moderator @Gkikas LGPZ last edited by

          meteoalarm
          0_1517552658216_8cd6a0f1-dc63-4493-9d0f-62711220a322-εικόνα.png

          Gkikas LGPZ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
          • Gkikas LGPZ
            Gkikas LGPZ Moderator @Gkikas LGPZ last edited by

            ... the mean rainfall for Feb. (average for 30 years period) for Montenegro
            is aprox. 300 mm

            0_1517553721987_78fe6708-4ce7-47a5-ab6c-0887717db9d1-εικόνα.png

            Gkikas LGPZ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
            • Gkikas LGPZ
              Gkikas LGPZ Moderator @Gkikas LGPZ last edited by

              Rainfall measurments from official weather stations
              in Montenegro and Albania (1 ~ 4 Feb.)
              0_1517813357589_05444748-17c9-4cdb-bef0-3ae87086bdee-εικόνα.png

              Michal.Koldinsky 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
              • Gkikas LGPZ
                Gkikas LGPZ Moderator last edited by

                Also, at NW parts of Greece (rain accumulation for 3 Feb.)
                0_1517814145447_704569da-7f45-48d7-9ecd-7123a71268a4-εικόνα.png

                Source: www.meteo.gr

                1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                • Michal.Koldinsky
                  Michal.Koldinsky @Gkikas LGPZ last edited by

                  @meteo-gr that's actually almost 2x less than what ICON/ECMWF forecasted.

                  Gkikas LGPZ 1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 0
                  • Gkikas LGPZ
                    Gkikas LGPZ Moderator @Michal.Koldinsky last edited by

                    @michal-koldinsky
                    Not really. Maybe in some mountainous locations the rain reached the forecasted values.
                    For example: On Sat 3 Feb, automatic wx stations in high altitude villages
                    in NW Greece, measured more than 100mm/day
                    and one station measured 347mm !!!
                    0_1517828284785_efdaa7b6-5313-410e-a14f-7876cd049823-εικόνα.png

                    In general, such accumulated fields must not over-interpreted
                    and must considered as "guidelines" for forecasting extreme events.

                    Also, keep in mind that "extreme" has different meanings in different places and seasons.
                    20mm of rain in July is "normal" for Prague but is "extreme" for Athens.
                    5cm of snow is OK for a winter day in Berlin but is extreme for Cairo.

                    1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 1
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