INVEST 92A - Tropical Cyclone 02A (MEKUNU)
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@gkikas-lgpz
Interesting, but what is strange is a different location if you choose Wind or Pressure/Rain parameter !! These maps from Meteoblue are issued from the same run 22-05 at 00UTC
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@idefix37
Same run but different models !!!
Take a look at model's name at the lower-left of the image.
NEMS for rain, GFS for wind.
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Today we see a wide spread of the GEFS runs that indicates low confidence.
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@gkikas-lgpz
Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU will pass just east of Socotra moving Northwards
to the Yemen-Oman border.
Winds now at 55 kts are expected to intensify tomorrow (Thu) to a hurricane-equivalent strength and on Friday will reach a peak of 85 kts (gusts 110 kts).On Friday morning, Yemen and Oman must expect heavy rain and very strong winds.
MEKUNU will weaken after landfall.
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Observed-forecast track and
the latest bulletin from India Meteorological Dept.
http://www.rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in/index.php?lang=en
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@gkikas-lgpz
The latest (23 May/00z) wind analysis from satellite data
show max wind 54 kts and central pressure 987 hPa
Source: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/mtcswa.html?storm=IO022018&id=MEKUNU
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Actual and forecast data (23 May/08z)
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Mekunu track (as forecasted by ECMWF and GFS)
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well organized, with the characteristic "eye" (source: EUMETSAT)
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Weather radar observations (Salalah, Oman)
http://met.gov.om/opencms/export/sites/default/dgman/en/weather-chart/map-data/
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Salalah's hospital is evacuating as Menuku approaches ...
http://timesofoman.com/article/135056/Oman/Cyclone-Mekunu-Sultan-Qaboos-Hospital-being-evacuated?utm_campaign=layout&utm_source=article_page&utm_medium=layout_related_articlesand flights to and from Salalah Airport could be delayed or cancelled
http://timesofoman.com/article/135057/Oman/Transport/SalamAir-announces-possible-flight-delays-and-cancellations-due-to-the-cycloneSocotra (aftermaths)
https://www.thenational.ae/world/mena/eight-missing-after-cyclone-mekunu-hits-yemen-s-socotra-island-1.733447
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Latest (25 May / 05:22 UTC) radar image from Salalah, Oman
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MEKUNU approaching Oman
Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC)
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimtc/2018_02A/web/basicGifDisplay.html
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radar image 25 May 2018 / 14:23 UTC
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According to
http://www.whec.com/national/oman-raises-death-toll-in-aftermath-of-cyclone-mekunu-to-6/4926039/?cat=10049
Salalah received 278.2 mm of rain, nearly three times its annual rainfall !
