Is forming in the Atlantic, moving westwards to Antigua and Puerto Rico (Monday)
Beryl has intensified really quickly. Up until recently almost none of the models showed real hurricane formation in that area. And all the forecasts so far have underestimated it and they still are. ECMWF currently has a 1013 hPa area and GFS a 1010 hPA area, but real measurements show that peak pressure is already 995 hPa. Same goes for wind speeds. Let's see if it weakens due to wind shear or if it could really pose a threat to land. There's also another area near North & South Carolina with 80% cyclone formation over the next 5 days.
Latest model's runs show "Beryl" will decrease into a tropical storm.
ECMWF track, shows it will go towards Puerto Rico
GFS, track it just south of Puerto Rico.
... As "Beryl" is passing Guadeloupe island,
it would be usefull to have weather radar imagery.
Guadeloupe wx. radar available here
You just need to wait a little more...
Said some weeks ago:
« You have done a very good job recently with the weather radar overlay in Europe. The provider for France is Météo France. You should also obtain, from the same provider, radar data for french caribbean islands like Guadeloupe and Martinique. These radars could complete the radar on Puerto Rico already available on Windy. These radars should be very useful during the hurricane season in Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.
There are other radar in overseas french territories, French Guyanna, La Réunion island, New Caledonia. »
« we access to raw data for at least 8 radar in the Caribbean Sea, we just need to add it.
We have added UK & Ireland. We will be adding Italy & Greece very soon. Next is Canada. »
max. wind observed at 09 July / 02:30 UTC at Le Raizet, was 25 gust 43 kts.
Visibility 700m in heavy rain.
METAR TFFR 090230Z AUTO 12025G43KT 0700 R12/0900U +RA FG
FEW007/// BKN013/// BKN023/// ///CB 25/24 Q1015
TEMPO 1000 TSRA BKN008 BKN012CB=
From now, we stare at windy's wx. radar for Puerto Rico to see if "Beryl" will pass
over the island (as ECMWF predicted) or just south of the island (as GFS predicted).