An area of convection just west of Guam, has a potential to develop in a tropical cyclone.
The track and central pressure (as forecasted by ECMWF) for the next 8 days.
On its side, GFS just show a Low, giving no further high winds.
But JTCW do confirm the potential of Invest 92W that ECMWF model show already on Windy.
Latest ECMWF run
tracks it northwest (to Hong Kong) and forecasts it with less intensity
(central pressure 984 hPa)
The yellow line shows the track on previous run.
We'll keep an eye on it ...
I do think so.
There are a lot of differences between ECMWF and GFS.
I hope 92w not to develop during next 7 days.
... Latest ECMWF run
tracks it into the Gulf of Tonkin (Vietnam)