A medicane expected ...

[Gkikas LGPZ]

...

[Gkikas LGPZ]

... a different track forecasted by ICON model
(the depression is not "looping" over Ionian Sea as forecasted by ECMWF)

P.S. after 5 days we'll know which model forecasted better that situation!

[idefix37]

The last run of ECMWF is now close to the ICON track. The Medicane could threaten directly Peloponnese.

[jmh2002]

Here is another update on this 'Medicane': http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/update-increasing-potential-for-a-strong-cat1-medicane-zorbas-to-hit-sw-greece-on-saturday-sept-29th/

[Gkikas LGPZ]

Depression "Zorbas" track (ECMWF run 26-9-2018/12:00z)

[Gkikas LGPZ]

the satellite IR simulation for Sat 29 Sep. 2018 / 18:00, shows the "eye"

Source: https://weather.us/

[Gkikas LGPZ]

Medicane track, based on ECMWF run 27 Sep / 12z

[Gkikas LGPZ]

Strong winds areas (in blue)

rain accumulation

Stay safe !

[Gkikas LGPZ]

Advanced Scatterometer winds (ASCAT) as measured from satellite METOP-B

[Gkikas LGPZ]

Buoy data
Sign. wave height 5m

[Gkikas LGPZ]

Copernicus data