A medicane expected ...
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A medicane (A Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone)
expected to form west of Grecce
on Friday 28 Sep. 2018.
Windy forecasted another one last November (2017)
https://community.windy.com/topic/4935/medicane -
@gkikas-lgpz
A Medicane has been observed too last week off the east coast of Sardinia. It was perfectly located by Windy (I have not taken screenshot of the phenomenon).
http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/a-medicane-expected-to-form-east-of-sardinia-within-the-next-24-hours/
Then it has moved southward and hit Tunisia causing deadly flooding.
https://www.france24.com/en/20180924-tunisia-weather-cap-bon-record-rains-set-off-deadly-flash-floods-nabeulIt seems that the expected Medicane near Greece could threaten Greek Islands.
Stay safe ! -
Track forecast
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...
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... a different track forecasted by ICON model
(the depression is not "looping" over Ionian Sea as forecasted by ECMWF)
P.S. after 5 days we'll know which model forecasted better that situation!
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The last run of ECMWF is now close to the ICON track. The Medicane could threaten directly Peloponnese.
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Here is another update on this 'Medicane': http://www.severe-weather.eu/mcd/update-increasing-potential-for-a-strong-cat1-medicane-zorbas-to-hit-sw-greece-on-saturday-sept-29th/
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Depression "Zorbas" track (ECMWF run 26-9-2018/12:00z)
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the satellite IR simulation for Sat 29 Sep. 2018 / 18:00, shows the "eye"
Source: https://weather.us/ -
Medicane track, based on ECMWF run 27 Sep / 12z
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Strong winds areas (in blue)
rain accumulation
Stay safe !
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Advanced Scatterometer winds (ASCAT) as measured from satellite METOP-B
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Buoy data
Sign. wave height 5m
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Copernicus data
