Tropical system in the Atlantic is hanging on — barely. Caribbean getting the brunt.

  • Meteorologist

    The National Hurricane Center’s 7 a.m. Nov. 14, 2018, advisory map.
                           ******The image above shows the storm (at the current moment) at a 0% chance of formation******

    Just consider it a reminder that hurricane season lasts until Nov. 30.

    The system, which would have been named Patty had it graduated to tropical storm status, is weakening, according to the National Hurricane Center.

    The wannabe Patty is currently a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low and producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and nearby waters in the Atlantic as of the center’s 7 a.m. Wednesday report.

    On Monday, the hurricane center bumped the odds of development up substantially to 90 percent, although conditions were expected to angle it away from Florida. But now “significant development of this system is not expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and interaction with islands of the Greater Antilles.”

    From 90 percent to 10 percent:

    — Jenny Staletovich (@jenstaletovich) November 14, 2018
    The system is still making itself felt in the Caribbean, however, by bringing heavy rains to the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola. Those conditions should continue for the next day or so as the wave moves in a west-northwestward direction.

    By Thursday, the rains will fall on the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas as the system turns northwestward.

    But formation chances in the next two to five days remains a low 10 percent.

                     BY HOWARD COHEN November 14, 2018, 12:26 PM

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