When Meteorology 101 is not enough!!!
Flamarz last edited by
Kingdom of Bahrain located 26 deg North of the equator is a little island that is mostly affected by local effects meaning land/sea temperatures and local wind directions which has a great contribution to any wx phenomena.
For example 850hpa plays a good role showing moisture feeding from the Arabian sea that converges with passing troughs if any giving a result of CU/TCU/CB and AC cast clouds that eventually develops with the good heating into thunderstorms.
Relying on local effects for a long period forecast is terribelly hard, most probably useful for now casting especially in the transitional season in (March, April and May), plus no well defined fronts to make a precise forecast, everything seems to be unsettled.