Navigation

    Windy Community

    • Register
    • Login
    • Search
    • Unread
    • Categories
    • Groups
    • Go to windy.com

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane season outlook

    Articles
    article hurricane cyclone tropicalcyclone hurricaneseason
    1
    1
    2692
    Loading More Posts
    • Oldest to Newest
    • Newest to Oldest
    • Most Votes
    Reply
    • Reply as topic
    Log in to reply
    This topic has been deleted. Only users with topic management privileges can see it.
    • pavelneuman
      pavelneuman last edited by pavelneuman

      hurricane-michael-landfall_2018.jpg

      2019 hurricane season already began on May 15 for the Pacific Basin, and begins June 1 for the Atlantic basin.

      photo: Windy.com;link:;licence: cc;desc:2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Feel free to download the image and post it to your social media account, blog or website. Please mention our Facebook (@windyforecast), Twitter (@windyforecast) or Instagram account (@windy_forecast) when posting on social media or link to https://www.windy.com (thank you!)

      The forecasts for both basins have already been released, including those from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University.

      NOAA expects a “near normal” season for overall number of systems in the Atlantic basin (North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico).

      NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which 6 become hurricanes, including 3 major hurricanes.

      NOAA's outlook for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season indicates that a near-normal season has the highest chance of occurring (40%), followed by equal chances (30%) of an above-normal season and a below-normal season. The Atlantic hurricane region includes the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico.

      The 2019 outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity:

      • 9-15 Named Storms
      • 4-8 Hurricanes
      • 2-4 Major Hurricanes
      • Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) range of 65%-140% of the median

      The seasonal activity is expected to fall within these ranges in 70% of seasons with similar climate conditions and uncertainties to those expected this year. These ranges do not represent the total possible ranges of activity seen in past similar years. These expected ranges are centered on the 1981-2010 seasonal averages of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. Most of the predicted activity is likely to occur during the peak months (August-October, ASO) of the hurricane season.

      photo: Windy.com;link:;licence: cc;desc:Feel free to download the image and post it to your social media account, blog or website. Please mention our Facebook (@windyforecast), Twitter (@windyforecast) or Instagram account (@windy_forecast) when posting on social media or link to https://www.windy.com (thank you!)

      Above-normal 2019 Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific hurricane season

      In the eastern and central Pacific basins, NOAA expects a more active season as compared to normal with 5-8 named storms.

      Severe #weather & dark music junkie. CMO at StormHour.com, biz-dev & partnerships at EXTREMEWEATHER.CLUB

      1 Reply Last reply Reply Quote 4
      • First post
        Last post
      Windyty, S.E. - all rights reserved. Powered by excellent NodeBB
      NodeBB & contributors, OSM & contributors, HERE maps
      Terms and Conditions     Privacy Policy