Very severe cyclonic storm Vayu is not likely to make landfall on Gujarat coast



    • Update: Vayu is expected to be weak as it makes landfall over northern Gujarat on Tuesday, it could bring heavy rainfall to western and northern India over the next five days
    • Update: Vayu is beginning to rapidly succumb to dry mid-level air and increased easterly vertical wind shear, weakening to tropical storm-equivalent strength. (Currently: 60 knots | 977 mbar)
    • Update: Cyclone Vayu likely to turn into depression, parts of North Guj may receive rain showers on June17, 18
    • Update: "It remains practically stationary in last one hour about 240 km West of Diu (Gujarat) and 130 km nearly South-West of Porbandar (Gujarat)," IMD said.
    • Update: Danger over Gujarat has ended, says CM Vijay Rupani to India News. "The administration received over 2000 complaints related to the power failures, while 144 villages said complete power loss."
    • Update: Gujarat coast has narrowly escaped devastation, Vayu is located 130 km south of Porbandar, Gujarat. Max winds reaching 160 kph. Vayu is drifting away from Indian coast
    • Update: IMD has officially informed that the trajectory of Vayu cyclone has changed. Cyclone Vayu won't hit Gujarat. Still its effect will be seen on the coastal regions as there will be heavy wind speed and heavy rain.
    • Update: Vayu strengthened to Cat 3 Hurricane equivalent
    • Update: JTWC udated exposed population in cat 1 or higher from 490,000 to zero in it's latest estimates
    • Update: Vayu is now Cat2.Hurricane-strength Tropical Cyclone. JTWC udated it's impact estimates, exposed population in cat 1 or higher to 490,000 (was 3.5 million), and max. storm surge to 1.6 m (was 1.4). Scroll down to see an updated infographic
    • Update: Cyclone Vayu is very likely to move nearly northwards and cross Gujarat coast as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm with wind speed 145-155 kmph gusting to 170 kmph around morning of 13th June 2019.
    • Update: We've added impact estimates by JTWC, see below

    Credits: GDACS (JTWC)

    June 13th
    Vayu forecast

    June 12th
    300,000 people are set to be evacuated to shelter homes, fishermen have been advised not to venture into sea along and off the Gujarat coast till June 15.

    Vayu is likely to damage thatched houses, blow away rooftops and metal sheets, disrupt power and communication lines and cause major damage to roads and crops.

    June 11th
    Tropical Cyclone Vayu (VAYU-19, IMD's identifier ARB 01) formed 10 June 2019 in the Arabian Sea and it heads towards Gujarat and Pakistan, expected to strengten to Category 1 hurricane (or more precisely, because we are in the Indian Ocean basin, the Cyclone) later today (UTC 2019-06-11T18:00:00.000Z or 11 Jun 2019 8:00 PM local time).

    Extremely heavy rains are expected across coastal India and over Pakistan.

    Vayu is the 3rd named storm of the 2019 North Indian Ocean cyclone season.

    The outlook

    GDACS (JTWC) expects maximum wind speeds 167 km/h, estimate of the exposed population in Category 1 or higher is 6.6 million.

    Vayu formed early on June 10 as a tropical depression in the Arabian Sea, northwest of the Maldives, and it gradually strengthened, becoming a Cyclonic Storm Vayu later that day.

    Expected impact of the tropical storm Vayu

    Unlikely to be as destructive as Fani, tropical storm Vayu will still have a huge impact on India. GDACS (JTWC) estimates Vayu will affect the popullation of 3.5 million in Category 1 or higher, with 176 km/h maximum sustained wind speed, maximum storm surge 1.4 m (13 Jun 05:00 UTC), ranked as High vulnerability for India.

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    Get current forecast and stay safe

    photo: Windy;desc: Actual position of Tropical Cyclone Vayu.;licence:cc;

    To track the path of Vayu, check out the Windy hurricane tracker at https://www.windy.com/hurricanes regularly. We'll also update this post to reflect the latest development of the Cyclone Vayu.



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