Multiple Storms expected to form on the Northwest Pacific Basin



  • According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, up to three tropical cyclones could form in the Northwest Pacific Basin within the next 7 days, which could affect the Philippines, Taiwan, Guam, and the recently-affected Japan.

    photo:NOAA; desc: Global Tropics Hazards and Benefits;

    Tropical Depression 95W

    A Tropical Depression (95W) remains just northeast of Palau and is slowly organizing. According to Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), this could intensify into a Tropical Storm and have the international name “Peipah”.

    Once it enters the Philippine Area of Responsibility, it will be named “Marilyn”. Its trough is affecting the eastern section of the country, and as it moves north, it is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that could bring rains and gusty winds over the western sections of the Philippines in the coming days.

    Until now, its future track is still uncertain due to low model consensus. ECMWF model is showing possible approach towards Taiwan-southern Japan Area, while GFS Model is showing that it will stall just northeast of the Philippines and interact with the other cyclones.

    Other Potential Tropical Cyclones

    As of the moment, the ECMWF and GFS models are indicating the formation of tropical cyclones within the next 7 days and linger around the basin, but the future track remains uncertain. Interests in Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines are advised to monitor this development.

    Here’s ECMWF Model showing multiple Low Pressure Systems in the Northwest Pacific Basin by weekend.

    photo:Windy.com; desc: ECMWF Model showing multiple Low Pressure Systems in the Northwest Pacific Basin; licence:cc

    The leftmost is 95W (Peipah) and the rest are still not yet being monitored by forecasting agencies, but these could develop into tropical cyclones in the coming days.

    https://www.windy.com/?2019-09-15-09,16.145,162.347,4,i:pressure,internal



Windyty, S.E. - all rights reserved. Powered by excellent NodeBB
NodeBB & contributors, OSM & contributors, HERE maps