Tropical Storm Bualoi (22W) coverage
-
- Update: Tropical Storm Bualoi (22W) becomes the 21st named tropical cyclone this year and it keeps intensifying. Based on the latest update by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, the 1-min winds has increased to 85 km/h (45 knots), while the Japan Meteorological Agency also increases the 10-min winds to 65 km/h (35 knots). It is now moving West at 25 km/h. It will continue to move its current track for the next few days, due to strong subtropical ridge in the North Pacific Ocean. Afterwards, it will then move in a more West-Northwest to Northwest track as the subtropical ridge weakens. The forecast as of this moment, it will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility and might recurve to Japan by late next week.
The newly-formed Tropical Storm (22W) near Marshall Islands is seen to become a typhoon and may affect Mariana Islands this coming week. Once upgraded into a Tropical Storm, it will be named BUALOI (a Thai dessert). As of 6:00 UTC, the system was located around 1,360 km SE of Dededo, Guam with 1-minute maximum sustained winds of up to 65 km/h (35 knots) and gusts of up to 83 km/h (45 knots). It is moving northwest at and 30 km/h.
Based on JTWC's Forecast (Warning #2) and from both GFS and ECMWF models, it is expected to further intensify in the coming days and may pass through Mariana Islands between Monday and Tuesday as a Typhoon. The Maximum wind forecast of both the ECMWF and GFS models show that parts of Mariana islands may experience tropical storm to typhoon-force winds between Monday and Tuesday.
Current model runs indicate that this will not hit the Philippines and may eventually recurve towards Japan by weekend. All are still advised to monitor for possible changes in the long-range forecast.
Ralph Lauren Abainza
A college student in the Philippines, a Disaster Risk Reduction advocate and a weather enthusiast. The founder of Earth Shaker. Follow us on Facebook and Twitter.
https://www.windy.com/upload/5daaccf6a7a755001995a789?17.393,155.654,4,internal
