Kyarr could become a very severe cyclone storm
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Cyclonic activity in the Indian Ocean is restarting in the Arabian Sea. As expected, Kyarr became the 4th tropical storm named of the 2019 cyclonic season of the North Indian Ocean. The system that has reached cyclonic storm intensity was named by the RSMC of New Delhi.
Over the next few hours, Kyarr is expected to track West Northwestward. This scenario is proposed by IFS and GFS models which suggests that the system crosses the Arabian Sea from East to West. However, there is a divergence with the Ukmo model that suggested a track rather oriented towards Northwest of India. For human agencies (CMRS New Delhi & JTWC) the scenario of a West-Northwest track is the most plausible, with a gradual rapprochement of the Arabian Peninsula.
Tropical storm Kyarr seems to have the potential to become a very severe cyclonic storm (equivalent of a category 3 Saffir Simpson scale). The environmental conditions appear favorable for a significant intensification. This system will therefore have to be closely monitored over the next few days especially for Oman and Yemen.
Patrick
Cyclone Chaser 2.0, I am passionate about these phenomena and I share my passion on my blog cycloneoi.com
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Thank you for your article :)
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@jmh2002 it's a pleasure
