It is likely that the Trump/DOGE cuts are going to affect the rollout and quality of new NOAA/NWS models.
The RRFS data was moved off Amazon into NOAA infrastructure, where the team is much more resource constrained and the amount of data available has been reduced. The operational date also slipped repeatedly (from "early 2026" to August 31 to October 6, 2026), though the stated reasons were evaluation results and weather-delay contingencies rather than budget. On the research side, the National Severe Storms Laboratory, Warn-on-Forecast, and other research-to-operations efforts remain on the chopping block in the current request, and these feed the long-term RRFSv2/MPAS roadmap.
No model has been cancelled or clearly delayed because of the cuts, but the labs producing them have been under a standing threat of closure for two budget cycles, have absorbed workforce losses, and are running the RRFS transition leaner than planned. Whether the FY2027 fight ends the same way as FY2026 is still open.