A rather intense line of thunderstorms followed by roughly an hour or so of moderate to light rain moved through the Madison, WI area this morning, Sunday, July 14, 2024. Looking at Windy's ECMWF forecast strip, I see that during that time there was no forecasted rain through the period. In fact, as far back as the forecast strip goes, the sky is shown to be clear and no chance of rain.
It would be one thing if this was a somewhat isolated incident, but that would be far from reality. It's more often wrong than right. Looking back, the Meteoblue model seems more accurate, but that may just be a fluke. Overall, I have found myself increasingly questioning the accuracy of this app on almost all forecast models.
So, what gives here? Has there been a global breakdown in all the forecasting models? I get that weather forecasting is an imprecise science, but I think near term forecasts should be highly accurate, or at least they used to be. What happened?