OK, thanks. I believe in our observations over the last couple years, the predicted Gusts seem too high compared to our other sources of weather station info, as well as the media reports. We normally leave the default on 'ECMWF' in Windy, but now we will try to use 'GFS' (or 'NAM') and see if we are running in "more parallel" between our info and Windy, specifically for predicted Gusts. Again, thanks for the help and good work on this. As an electric utility company, we depend on great information to help us with storms, power outages, etc...so you see that the wind speed, gusts, etc is crucial data to us.
Best posts made by hope4411
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
Latest posts made by hope4411
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
OK, thanks. I believe in our observations over the last couple years, the predicted Gusts seem too high compared to our other sources of weather station info, as well as the media reports. We normally leave the default on 'ECMWF' in Windy, but now we will try to use 'GFS' (or 'NAM') and see if we are running in "more parallel" between our info and Windy, specifically for predicted Gusts. Again, thanks for the help and good work on this. As an electric utility company, we depend on great information to help us with storms, power outages, etc...so you see that the wind speed, gusts, etc is crucial data to us.
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
I put examples of some quick comparisons I did in the prior message. I believe what I am finding is that our NWS is more closer to your GFS or NAM. Just to note...It is far off from the METEO data. Most importantly, I had been using the default ECMWF (until now!) but see that is usually the highest gust speed by a lot and likely why I felt it was so far "off". That one seems to always be too high in our opinion. Maybe switching to the other GFS or NAM will be better for us. Does that make sense to you based on my findings?
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
Brewster, NY Wednesday 9/4 12pm (in MPH)
(Windy)
Source Sustain Gust
ECMWF 12 28
GFS 12 22
METEO 1 16
NAM 8 30(other)
NWS 11 22Brewster, NY Wednesday 9/4 3pm (in MPH)
(Windy)
Source Sustain Gust
ECMWF 12 30
GFS 13 23
METEO 0 17
NAM 11 22(other)
NWS 10 20
Mechanicville, NY Wednesday 9/4 12pm (in MPH)
(Windy)
Source Sustain Gust
ECMWF 12 35
GFS 13 22
METEO 4 16
NAM 16 26(other)
NWS 14 24Mechanicville, NY Wednesday 9/4 3pm (in MPH)
(Windy)
Source Sustain Gust
ECMWF 7 33
GFS 10 22
METEO 3 14
NAM 10 19(other)
NWS 13 21 -
RE: Incorrect wind speed
Again the sustained winds are usually pretty close, so we are confused why the GUST data would only be off...puzzling.
I understand you feel like I am bashing etc. I am not. I love your site. I am just reporting that the models or converstion or something that you use are very, very high for gust data compared to NWS and NOAA that we use. The sustained match ours well, so we know something is coordinating well. That is what I am asking you to review...is there an issue with your gust data...please compare as I mentioned. You will see big differences in GUSTS at a given time and day to NWS/NOAA, while the sustained match up pretty well.
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
NWS and NOAA sources we look at. Again sustained winds are pretty close to yours (such as the GFS), but it is the Windy GUST info seems off sometimes by 10-20 mph and almost always much higher. We just looked at Brewster NY and similar results. Maybe you can check NWS or NOAA to see theirs and compare head to head. We have seen times where 30-40 mph gust difference.
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
Example. Binghamton, NY. Wednesday 9/4 at 2pm you show wind predicted at 12mph with gusts to 42 mph for ECMWF. GFS is 9 mph and 22 mph. Meteoblue is 2 mph and 11 mph. NAM is 11 mph and 21 mph.
Our custom forecast is 11 mph winds with no gusts. NOAA is about the same prediction.
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
@hope4411 I usually see good comparisons with wind speed (sustained) but not accurate with GUSTS. just to be clear... and I am not even talking Hurricanes....just everyday winds and forecasts...thanks...
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RE: Incorrect wind speed
The forecasted wind GUSTS do not fall in line with forecasted GUSTS of other sources at all. We see it all the time in NY. Your predicted GUSTS are multiple times more than other sources. We use professional custom prepared forecasts as well as public ones. Your gust predictions are always much higher than any by far. Sustained wind info seems good. Compare your forecasted gusts head to head with others and you'll see. Maybe you are using some kind of bad math to convert speeds to different units or something...?
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RE: GUST INFORMATION
Not a complaint, but just trying to bring this to light! Maybe someone can address fixing it and please do not discredit the observation here. I don't know if anyone from Windy is reading this, but I agree with the post that the wind GUST information is not accurate. All other info seems good, like sustained wind is OK. I have compared the gust info to other weather sources (predictions and to actual wind gusts)...the gust info on this site is way overstated. It is almost like a multiplier is getting used. Not sure, but someone needs to compare this info to other reputable sources and check. I am not making it up, check for yourself. Prove that the Windy gust info is in line with other official sources. Whatever they are using on the Windy site is incorrect for gusts. We use the app for all its features EXCEPT gusts. We rely on weather forecasts for our business... We also subscribe to two highly précised and official professional-custom forecasts...so we do know a thing or two about weather and forecasts. Thanks...take these comments and improve! Keep up the good work at Windy!