@RRD2 Hi, the forecast accuracy is quite good … partly because NOAA often predicts a range rather than a single number. In both 2024 and 2023, storm activity stayed within those predicted ranges.
Year 2024: NOAA forecast (actual):
Named storms: 17 to 25 (18)
Hurricanes: 8 to 13 (11)
Major hurricanes: 4 to 7 (5)
Source:
NOAA forecast
End-of-season summary
Year 2023
NOAA forecast:
Named storms: 14 to 21 (20)
Hurricanes: 6 to 11 (7)
Major hurricanes: 2 to 5 (3)
Source:
NOAA forecast
End-of-season summary