Is their any data published on the accuracy of this model for forecasting wind, sun, rain, temperatures out to 15 days?
I find your description of the model contradictory. At the beginning it's touting using this model plan for future activities with more accuracy and at the end it's stating forecasting out 15 days is risky and caution should used for planning activities around it. Would be good to know the positive predictive value when it forecasts a windy day on a certain body of water 15 days out (ie what % of the time that it predicts a windy day does it turn out to be correct) and likewise what is the sensitivity (what percent of windy days does it truly pickup 15 days out).
We recognize predicting weather/wind is challenging but it would be helpful to know if the accuracy is a flip of the coin (50%) or more like 80-90%.
Thanks for all you have done with this great app!