Posts made by WeatherHunter

As we look forward to 2020 season, we must take a look at the East coast of Florida where the First Named storm of the season has arrived. Tropical Depression #1 Has strengthened into Tropical Storm Arthur, Here is the Current Stats on the storm:

Tropical Storm Arthur:
WInds: 40mph
Pressure: 1006mb
Direction: NNE@13mph

As the Arthur makes it way North it will encounter a blocking High Pressure causing it to change course towards the East. Otherwise the storm is Lopsided, As the days go on the storm will try to organize itself. Arthur is not really a threat to land due to the fact that a Strong area of Low Pressure is making its way toward the east coast. Updates will be posted when i am capable of posting them.

Sources: National Hurricane Center and Tropical Tidbits

Disclaimer- I do not own any of the information above i am only a Reporter on it, All Info is credited to the National Hurricane Center

As we look forward to the 2020 hurricane season, it may already be starting as May hasn't even rolled around the corner yet. A Tropical Wave according to the NHC
( National Hurricane Center)
Invest 90E as of the latest data is only suppose to be upgraded to a Tropical Depression, The Circulation of 90E is rather impressive as you can point out the obvious spin and the collection of massive thunderstorms sorta organized by the center. As of the influence, this has to land, it will be none as it makes a hard left turn toward the pacific ocean. According to the National Hurricane Center, "Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur have changed little in organization today. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves northwestward at around 10 mph. By Sunday, upper-level winds should become unfavorable for development. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 8 AM PDT Saturday, or earlier, if necessary.

• Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
• Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent."

As of now the current stats for 90E are:
Maximum Sustained Winds: 25kt
Environmental Pressure: 1009mb^
Direction: NW@10mph

Links to sources:

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5

Disclaimer I do not own or intend to own any of the following information, I am simply using it to update the public on the Hurricane Season, and that's how I intend to use it through Nov. 30,*

According to the National Hurricane Center, Invest 90L has an 80% chance to form in the next few days and another 80% within the next 5 days, however, those conditions appear to be unacceptable as the days go on, as the storm moves into the Atlantic it will encounter colder waters and a frontal system limiting its development further on.

Furthermore as the end of the 2019 Hurricane Season comes to a close, we will remember the big storms that happened this season. Hurricane Dorian being the strongest, breaking records that the Bahamas haven't seen for a very long time. Devastating the people of the Bahamas and changing their lives forever.

For most of us, we can only hope that next year's season is less active and not a strong as they were this season.

Michael Scalise

Fascinated by the forces of nature and always wanting to share it with everyone I can. I have been studying Meteorology since I was 7. Follow me on Instagram.

https://www.windy.com/-Hurricane-tracker/hurricanes?satellite,16.894,-58.755,7,internal

@WeatherHunter but all is good now

yea i was forced to change my name because it was a "mimic" to the real weather center even tho they are called WeatherChannel.

when I looked at the watches and warnings I saw that it doesn't have tornado watches or Warnings

A large storm will affect the flood-weary central United States and produce heavy rain and thunderstorms with localized severe weather.

While a storm of this magnitude is fairly typical of the spring, it will cause a new round of problems for residents and travelers in the region.

Rain on the saturated ground to stir more flooding problems

Enough rain may fall with the storm from the central Plains to part of the Midwest to aggravate the flooding situation.

A large swath of 1-3 inches of rain is likely to fall from eastern Nebraska and Kansas to northern Ohio and southern Michigan with the storm from Friday to Saturday. Locally higher amounts to 4 inches are likely. "The bulk of the rain will fall south of the area where deep snow remains on the ground over the northern Plains and the Upper Midwest," according to AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok.

However, in these northern areas, flooding is unavoidable even with a gradual thaw and absence of heavy rain over the next several weeks.

Major flooding has begun along the Minnesota, Big Sioux, and northern Mississippi rivers this week and is expected to continue into April. In addition, major flooding is forecast along the Red River of the North from April to May. While this type of storm would not typically do more than cause urban-style flooding problems, given its large size and location over saturated ground, it will likely agitate the river flooding at least in a small way.

Widespread river flooding has already been set into motion by prior storms, including the bomb cyclone from the middle of March and deep snow cover from the winter. Because of the storm late this week, water levels are likely to fluctuate in the short term along small streams and several days to a week or more later downstream on the larger rivers.

While these fluctuations may be relatively minor and on the order of several feet along the major rivers, they are likely to prolong the overall flooding disaster that continues to unfold.

Additional typical spring storms that trek through the region are likely to do the same.

Snow to fall on storm's cold side

Like many spring storms, this one will have its wintry side.

A general snowfall of a few inches is forecast. However, local amounts close to a foot will be possible over the various ranges and foothills. Thunderstorms to erupt may become severe in storm's warm sector

Whenever large storms sweep from the Rockies to the Midwest, like the upcoming storm late this week, there is the potential for severe weather.

While there may not always be a major severe weather outbreak with every such storm, there are risks to lives and property, even on a small scale.

    By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Snow, ice and gusty winds will create areas of treacherous travel across the north-central United States into late week.

The winter weather will move through in two waves, with the first set to create slippery travel along Interstate 80 between the I-35 and I-75 corridor.

Travel along a swath from Wichita, Kansas; to Kansas City, Missouri; Omaha, Nebraska; Des Moines and Cedar Rapids, Iowa; Chicago; Madison and Milwaukee, Wisconsin; and Detroit can be dicey into Tuesday night, with untreated roads likely to be slippery.

There is the potential for enough ice to accumulate, including around Chicago, for tree damage and power outages to occur.

“The Wednesday morning commute [in Chicago] is likely to be icy, even as the precipitation moves quickly away,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Dombek.

Commuters around the Detroit metro area can also be faced with icy conditions on Wednesday morning.

Snow will fall along the northern periphery of the ice, with a few inches expected around Minneapolis into Tuesday night.

Ice will spread into part of the Northeast at midweek as the next wave of wintry conditions takes shape over the central U.S.

A more expansive swath of snow will accompany this next round from Wednesday through Thursday.

“Where the heaviest snow falls across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest, several inches to a foot of snow are forecast,” said AccuWeather Meteorologist Faith Eherts.

There can be an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 16 inches.

The steadiest snow can set up from parts of Nebraska and the eastern Dakotas through Minnesota and into the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. This corridor includes stretches of interstates 29, 35, 80, 90 and 94.

“Along with increasingly heavy snowfall, winds will contribute to deteriorating travel conditions as blowing and drifting snow obscures roadways and limits visibility,” Eherts said.

Even in the absence of snow, gusty winds across the nation’s midsection can lead to travel difficulties on the roadways, especially for high-profile vehicles.

Freezing rain and sleet will occur on the southern edge of the snow, making travel particularly hazardous, according to Eherts.

The zone of icy mix will set up slightly farther north when compared to Tuesday and Tuesday night.

The worst of the ice and slick travel is expected to set up to the north of Chicago and Detroit, but once again target Kansas City, Omaha and Des Moines.

Residents in Green Bay, Wisconsin; and Traverse City, Michigan; can wake up to a slippery coating of ice on Thursday morning.

Download the free AccuWeather app to see exactly when snow and/or ice will arrive in your area.

Travel should be avoided during the worst of the icy conditions, Eherts warned.

“If you must head out, extra time should be allowed in case of hazardous road conditions,” she added.

Flooding rainfall and locally strong thunderstorms will threaten areas to the south of the snow and ice during Wednesday and Thursday.

A frigid and blustery end to the week is in store across the North Central states as the storm departs.

While temperatures will not dip quite as low as they did during the polar invasion last week, precautions will once again need to be taken by anyone venturing outdoors to lessen the risk of frostbite or hypothermia.

Highs will be held below zero degrees Fahrenheit in the northern Plains and in the single digits and teens across the upper Mississippi Valley, with even lower AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures.

                       By Renee Duff, AccuWeather meteorologist

The Storm is Over 1500 Nautical Miles Wide!!!!


Yea I have heard about it. But I'm trying to get used to Florida's weather still.

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, which featured two of the most destructive storms in U.S. history, will quietly conclude on Friday, Nov. 30.

Over the past six months, there were 15 named storms during the season, eight of which became hurricanes. Only two of those eight hurricanes, Florence and Michael, strengthened into major hurricanes.

The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the intensity of a hurricane season, was 128.9, according to Colorado State University. An above-average season is about 111 units, while a below-average season is less than 66.

The 2017 ACE value was a whopping 226, a year which saw major hurricanes, Harvey, Irma, and Maria make direct impacts on the land.

Activity was above normal for the season and higher-than-normal sea surface temperatures in key development areas of the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico were a major factor, according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

A standard season typically includes 12 tropical storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes, he explained.

Much of the tropical development took place in the central North Atlantic, where storms remained away from land. Abnormally warm waters played a factor in this breeding area.

“This really allowed the [number of storms] to be higher than a normal year,” Kottlowski said.

Another factor was that more than three-quarters of the season occurred without the presence of El Niño, which means the climate pattern was in an ENSO neutral state. When an El Niño pattern is in effect, this can limit the number of tropical systems that are born in the Atlantic.

The mainland U.S. was on the receiving end of four direct impacts. In addition to Florence and Michael, two tropical storms, Alberto and Gordon, impacted the Gulf Coast.

Back in early April, AccuWeather's forecast for the season predicted 12-15 tropical storms along with six to eight hurricanes and three to four landfalling named storms.

While this season was not as intense as 2017, storms still wrought significant devastation across the southeastern United States.

“It’s very rare for there to be two years back-to-back where you’re impacted by two high-impact storms,” Kottlowski said.

The season began slightly ahead of the official June 1 start date when Subtropical Storm Alberto formed over the northwestern Caribbean Sea on May 25. For the next several months, the Atlantic basin saw four storms develop, but none threatened the mainland U.S.

It wasn’t until mid-September when Florence became the first major hurricane of the season. Florence’s long journey across the Atlantic began back on Sept. 1 near the Cabo Verde Islands. It took a long, meandering path across the Atlantic before settling on the Carolinas as its destination for landfall.

Florence weakened to a Category 1 storm by the time it came ashore near Wrightsville Beach, North Carolina, on Sept. 14. Florence’s slow-moving nature caused it to dump a historic amount of water on the Carolinas, flooding much of the region for weeks.

atlantic hurricane season 2018

Florence caused billions in estimated damages and is blamed for 42 deaths.

Less than a month later, a late-season threat emerged when Tropical Storm Michael developed in the Caribbean Sea on Oct. 7. Within three days, it had become a frightening Category 4 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

Michael made landfall along the Florida Panhandle on Oct.10. At the time of the landfall, it was packing winds of 155 mph, just two miles per hour shy of Category 5 status.

Michael's winds obliterated coastal areas of the Panhandle, including the town of Mexico Beach and major damage was also reported in Panama City. More than 40 people were killed as a result of Michael.

Tyndall Air Force Base took a direct hit and suffered extensive damage, and many buildings were declared a total loss. However, in the weeks since the storm, recovery at the base has taken a turn for the better as many servicemen and women had returned, officials said.

Michael became the strongest hurricane to ever strike the Florida Panhandle and the third-most intense hurricane to ever make landfall in the U.S. with a minimum central pressure of 27.13 inches of mercury. It was also the strongest landfalling hurricane to hit the U.S. in October since 1954.

This year also marked the first time since 2008 that there were four named storms active at the same time since 2008, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Those four were Florence, Helene, Isaac, and Joyce during the month of September.

By Kevin Byrne, AccuWeather staff writer November 29, 2018, 12:06:23 PM EST

Well, it did get pretty cold when the low pressure passed over the mid-west, so I wouldn't be surprised if it did. And so far the mid-west has seen record lows for the month of November.

@nicolas-a Soon we could be seeing the first Cat 6; that scientists are thinking about implementing into the Saffir–Simpson scale. with the winds higher than 175-185+

Texas should brace for more — and worse — Hurricane Harveys, according to a major scientific report made public on Nov. 23 by the Trump administration.

Based on the research of hundreds of government and academic scientists, including several in Texas, the 1,656-page appraisal warns that Harvey and other recent extreme weather events are harbingers of climate change. Absent swift action to slash carbon emissions, the report says, the warming trend will have an even more crippling impact on life in the United States — and Texas.

The report is the second volume of the latest National Climate Assessment, which the federal government must produce every four years. The first volume released a year ago came to many of the same conclusions but was less detailed and dire.

While both reports were released under the Trump administration, they stand in stark contrast to the president’s stance on climate change; he has repeatedly cast doubt on it. Indeed, environmental and other groups accused the administration of attempting to bury the report by releasing it the day after Thanksgiving.

The White House downplayed the findings of the report, saying in a statement that it was “largely based on the most extreme scenario.”

But the report makes a compelling case for the reality of disastrous climate change impacts — in large part because they are already occurring. The report highlights Hurricane Harvey, wildfires in California and other recent extreme weather events, describing them as consistent with what might be expected as the planet warms. It also details the crippling impact a multi-year drought had on Texas agriculture from 2010 to 2015, thanks not only to less direct rainfall but to the reduction of water released to farmers for irrigation.

Among the “key messages” in the report: Relative sea level rise along the Texas Gulf Coast will be twice that of the global average — 1 to 4 feet or more — between now and 2100. That will make communities more vulnerable to hurricane storm surge.

Texas “is vulnerable to increasing temperature, extreme precipitation and continued sea level rise, particularly as infrastructure ages and populations shift to urban centers,” the report states.

The report also notes that poor land management practices in Houston exacerbated flooding there during Harvey — a subject The Texas Tribune and ProPublica investigated in late 2016, less than a year before the storm hit.

“In the area affected by Hurricane Harvey, regional land management practices over the last several decades have reduced the area covered by wetlands, forests, and prairies, which historically absorbed stormwater runoff,” the report states. “These natural environments have been increasingly replaced with impermeable surfaces, decreasing Houston’s resilience to flooding.”

Other impacts the report predicts for Texas: an additional 1,300 deaths per year due to higher temperatures and as much as $21 billion in flooded coastal property by 2030. The Edwards Aquifer, which supplies water to millions of Texans, also will suffer from “a decrease of water supply during droughts, a degradation of habitat for species of concern, economic effects, and the interconnectivity of these impacts.”

          By Kiah Collier, The Texas Tribune | November 27, 2018

@jewellscience ummm..........o....k

The Pacific Hurricane season is still not over with the National Hurricane Center as they put out 2 more Disturbances for the Pacific. Down Below shows the Info for Both.

1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 600 miles south-
   southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized
   showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to
   become somewhat conducive for gradual development during the next
   several days while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward.

• Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
• Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Another area of low pressure located about 1150 miles
   south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
   peninsula is also producing disorganized showers and
   thunderstorms. Any development of this system over the next
   few days is expected to be slow to occur while it moves slowly
   westward.

• Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

• Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

                        By: The National Hurricane Center, Forecaster Brown.